Showing posts with label fiscal conservatism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fiscal conservatism. Show all posts

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Survival Of The Unfittest?


"Greed is good," is the phrase that most comes to mind when thinking of the infamous villain Gordon Gekko in the movie Wall Street. I am not naive or crass enough to believe that greed is good, however Gekko did say another phrase that is much more relevant in today's world. He spoke about survival of the unfittest, and in recent history our nation's breakout of bailouts is creating a culture that is bringing to life Gekko's nightmare. Or at least that is the way an article within the Economist describes the culture, and not just in the US.

But the dramatic changes in the pecking order mask a lack of more profound change in the system of finance itself. Lehman aside, no big firms have been allowed to fail (as they would have done, unaided). Thanks to state aid, the law for big firms today is what Gordon Gekko, the red-blooded villain of the film “Wall Street”, dubbed “survival of the unfittest".


Don't jump to conclusions too quickly. The article is not a total advocation of complete free markets within the banking industry. The article makes some great points on why some government regulation is necessary, but warns of the dangers of setting a precedent of state guarantees.

Removing the explicit side of the state’s commitment is relatively simple. Some guarantees are still plainly needed now, but a firm deadline of, say, five years for the final expiry of the governments’ various crisis-induced pledges should be set globally. With the world economy in better shape, this looks more realistic than it did six months ago. But even then the implicit assumption will linger that banks will always be bailed out. This is the core problem. There are two possible responses to it: regulate banks to try to make them safer, and attempt to limit the implicit guarantee. Both approaches are now needed.

No one should pretend that banking is an industry where pure natural selection takes place. But as guarantees, both explicit and implicit, are withdrawn, the hope is that self-discipline will be imposed on banks, not just swathes of new regulation. There are signs that riskier banks are already paying more to finance themselves. This differentiation must be promoted, so the weak and reckless are gradually forced to shrink and live within their means—and not off taxpayers’ largesse.


I really like the article because it talks about some of the consequences of providing an 'implicit state guarantee' to the banks. The described guarantee is a fancy way of saying that we are starting down the slippery slope. I have blogged about the unforeseen consequences that can arise out of government deities deciding who lives and who dies, and this article illustrates some that are being to take shape. A good read from a good source of information.

Friday, March 13, 2009

China and Our Growing Deficit

I read this article on multiple websites today, however it has been replaced on ABCnews by Jennifer Aniston's relationship status update. I think this article is a huge wake up and it should be a huge boost for fiscal conservatism. However, thinking that America will come together to embrace one belief is naive and...well very un-American.

I think what the article does illustrate is a fatal flaw that our nation, its elected officials, and the media has embraced. We believe that there will always be a market for our nation's debt, with complete disregard for the financial state of our nation and its ability to repay that debt. To me this is no different than the mentalities that have led us down the numerous financial crises that mark our nations history. This is the same mentality that recklessly handed out mortgages to all that applied because home prices would always rise. The same mentality that caused price to earnings ratios of pets.com to soar above that of Coca Cola or Toyota. The same mentality that had the Dutch mortgaging their future away to buy tulip bulbs. You know when the Chinese and our interests are suddenly aligned (making sure that we can handle our debt) that things are getting interesting to say the least. My college coach used to say, "Don't try and make chicken salad out of chicken shit" when players tried to do too much. I am worried that if we overextend ourselves as a nation we will be in the same scenario; a handful of bad debt that we can't make good on.